Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed downside pressure ahead of upcoming inflation reports this week, and artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms suggest that Bitcoin price action is likely to remain muted by December 25.
Specifically, Finbold’s AI prediction agent projects an average Bitcoin price for Xmas day at $91,040, implying a modest 1.31% Santa Rally upside from current price of $89.863.
The algorithm combined the results generated by three leading large language models (LLMs), namely Claude Sonnet 4, ChatGPT, and Gemini 2.5 Flash. The first two were somewhat bullish, while the third thought the pressure would continue to mount.
On the most optimistic end, Claude Sonnet predicted a BTC price would go up 5.2% over the next ten days, climbing back to $94,500. OpenAI’s chatbot forecasted a somewhat lower price, $92,301, which still implies a 2.76% upside during the Santa Rally.
Conversely, Google’s AI assistant anticipated Bitcoin to fall to 3.94%, to $86,300, which would set the cryptocurrency back to price levels last seen on December 1.
Machine learning algorithm predicts Bitcoin price on Christmas 2025
While the overall 1.31% upside projection is positive, technical indicators analyzed by Finbold’s prediction tool reinforce a more negative outlook.
Most notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 44 puts Bitcoin in a firmly bearish territory and suggests there is still room for further downside before dip buyers are forced back into the market. Similarly, the stochastic oscillator remains below the midpoint, with the %K line below the %D line, which indicates somewhat weak short-term momentum.
Further, Bitcoin continues to trade well below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $96,000. This confirms that the short- to medium-term trend remains bearish, with the 50-day SMA now acting as dynamic resistance.
Finally, the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) and signal line at -1,327 and -1,674, respectively, hint at a rebound attempt, but the declining histogram slope, on the other hand, drives at a loss of upside acceleration.
In sum, the AI proposes that Bitcoin may avoid a sharp sell-off by Christmas, but the technical analysis still warns that the market lacks the momentum needed for a meaningful rally, which is reflected in the relatively safe average BTC price on Christmas.
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