Bitcoin could crash to $38,000 in October 2026, warns top crypto analyst
The early 2026 cryptocurrency market has been marked by a fierce corrida between Bitcoin (BTC) bulls and bears, with the former anticipating BTC is set for another rally, and the latter estimating traders are facing the opening stages of another ‘crypto winter.’
Popular on-chain expert, Ali Martinez, is more on the bearish side as he, in a January 12 X post, revealed that Bitcoin will hit this cycle’s bottom in about 267 days – sometime in October 2026:
267 days remain until Bitcoin $BTC is projected to reach a cycle bottom, likely between $38,000 and $50,000.

Still, Martinez left some room open as he set his forecast within the range between $38,000 and $50,000 in the January 12 X post, signaling an expectation that the 2026 correction will be slightly milder than historical ‘winters.’
Featured image via Shutterstock
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