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What Do the Latest On-Chain Data for Bitcoin (BTC) Show? Bullish or Bearish?

On April 1, 2026 by voice

In the cryptocurrency market, on-chain data and derivatives market dynamics point to a significant divergence in investor behavior, while the Bitcoin price continues its sideways movement with limited fluctuations.

According to market data, Bitcoin ($BTC) is trading at $68,094, showing a limited increase of 0.06% in the last 24 hours.

A chart showing the recent drops in $BTC price.

During this period when prices are confined within a narrow range, the liquidations in the derivatives markets present a striking picture. In a process where a total of $109.16 million in liquidations took place, short positions accounted for $76.51 million, or 70.1% of the total, indicating that investors who took positions against upward movements in the market were hit harder. In contrast, long liquidations remained at $32.65 million.

You can access the details of the liquidation data here.

A graph showing recent liquidations in the cryptocurrency market.

On the other hand, the Fear and Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, remains in the “extreme fear” region with 8 points. The fact that the index has been at similarly low levels yesterday (11), last week (14) and last month (10) reveals that investors are generally risk-averse and approach the market cautiously.

Related News What Will Happen to the Price of Bitcoin If the U.S.-Iran War Ends? Here Are the Experts’ Predictions

On-chain data shows that Bitcoin’s current price structure remains relatively strong. The “realized price,” which represents the average cost for all investors on the network, is at $54,200, and Bitcoin trading above this level indicates that the market is generally profitable and that this level could act as strong support.

A chart comparing the actual price of Bitcoin with the current price.

However, the MVRV ratio, another important indicator suggesting that the market is not overheating in terms of valuation, is measured at 1.26. This value reveals that Bitcoin is neither excessively expensive nor historically cheap, but rather moving within a band considered to be “equilibrium.” According to experts, an MVRV below 1 is considered a strong bottom signal, while levels above 3.7 indicate a market bubble and a potential peak risk.

A graph showing MVRV data in Bitcoin.

*This is not investment advice.

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