Bitcoin price forecast: BTC dips below $113k ahead of FOMC

Key takeaways

• BTC is down 1% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $113k.
• The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points today.

FOMC meeting dominates headlines

Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are currently bearish as they are struggling to break above key resistance levels. Bitcoin has dropped below 113k and is now trading around $112,950 per coin.

This price action comes after Bitcoin’s price was rejected at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The bearish performance in the last few hours comes ahead of the FOMC meeting in a few hours.

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points, a move that could see Bitcoin and other leading cryptocurrencies rally in the near term. The rate cut is expected despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which caused a financial data backlog in the last three weeks.

Bitcoin could hit $120k if the bullish trend resumes

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Bitcoin has underperformed in the last 24 hours. The bearish performance comes after Bitcoin retested and faced rejection from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $115,137 earlier this week. It is now down 1% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $112,950.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart hovers around 60, indicating a bullish bias among traders. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on Sunday, supporting the bullish thesis.

If Bitcoin holds its price above the $112k level and closes its daily candle above $115,137, it could extend the rally toward the key psychological level at $120,000.

However, failure to close above the $115,137 resistance level could see Bitcoin lose its recent momentum and decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $106,453.