Crypto markets could face downside pressure after Fed meeting, says analyst

Crypto markets could see declines following the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting, crypto analyst Ali Martinez has warned.

Markets are pricing in an 87.6% probability of a rate cut at the December meeting. However, history shows that six of seven FOMC meetings in 2025 led to price corrections, even when markets attempted to front-run the event with optimism, according to Ali.

Past patterns suggest the market may respond bearish despite expectations of a rate cut.

“The FOMC meeting on May 7 was the only one that led to a 15% rally,” the analyst noted. “And from June 18, Bitcoin continued to decline after every FOMC meeting. Statistically, Bitcoin tends to face downside pressure around FOMC announcements.”

The FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve’s key decision-making body for monetary policy, is scheduled to convene on Wednesday. Market participants will be watching for signals from the FOMC, as monetary policy decisions can influence sentiment and volatility in crypto markets.