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Expert Analysis Firm Says: “Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio May Signal a Rally”

On March 21, 2026 by voice

While cryptocurrency markets continue their sideways trend amid global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, on-chain data platform Santiment shared important signals regarding the market’s future.

According to Santiment experts, Bitcoin has shown greater resilience compared to traditional markets during the fluctuations experienced since the beginning of March.

While the S&P 500 index and gold experienced sharp declines, Bitcoin’s similar rate of value loss is interpreted as a “sign of strength” due to the nature of its high volatility.

Data shows that the number of wallets holding 100 or more $BTC has increased by 3.9% in the last three months and by 12% in the last year. Santiment notes that large whales are not selling despite the current uncertainty and are adopting a “wait-and-see” strategy.

Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have reached the third and fourth highest trading volumes in history within the last 48 hours. This demonstrates significant polarization in the market and indicates that institutional interest remains very strong. Santiment notes that days with fund outflows, in particular, may historically mark local lows.

According to Santiment’s analysis, long-term MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) data shows Bitcoin is still in “opportunity zone,” and the average investor is at a loss. This could historically be preparation for a new rally. However, a “clarity” on the macroeconomic and geopolitical fronts is expected before the market can take a definite direction.

A graph showing the MVRV value for $BTC.

*This is not investment advice.

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