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Critical Levels for Bitcoin Revealed: Analyst Says Risk Could Escalate If BTC Falls Below This Price

On October 13, 2026 by voice

While uncertainty persists regarding the future price of Bitcoin ($BTC) in the cryptocurrency market, renowned crypto analyst Joao Wedson has outlined the critical support and resistance levels that investors should monitor.

Wedson analyzed the cost data of short-term Bitcoin investors (STHs) to assess at what levels the $BTC price might recover and how far it could fall in the event of a decline.

According to the analyst’s data, while Bitcoin is trading at $83,608, the MVRV (Minimum Revenue Per Capita) ratio for short-term investors is at 1.13. This data indicates that this group of investors has, on average, approximately 13% unrealized profit.

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According to the analyst, the most critical short-term threshold for Bitcoin is at $82,658. For $BTC to remain above this level is considered important for a price recovery.

According to Wedson’s analysis, the first significant resistance Bitcoin may encounter in its upward movement is at the $91,051 level. If this area is breached, the next strong resistance point is at $99,444.

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In a bearish scenario, the $82,658 level is considered a critical decision point. According to the analyst, Bitcoin losing this level could increase the likelihood of the price falling to $74,264, which represents the average cost for short-term investors.

Specifically, a drop below the $74,264 level means that short-term Bitcoin investors will, on average, move from unrealized profits to unrealized losses. This is seen as a significant risk that could lead to increased selling pressure in the market and cause investors to sell at a loss.

Wedson’s analysis also lists $65,871, $57,478, and $49,084 as other support levels to watch in the event of a deeper correction. These price zones are considered points where Bitcoin could find support in the event of sharp declines, or where investors’ capitulation tendencies could strengthen.

*This is not investment advice.

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