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CME FedWatch Tool Shows 81% Probability of a September Rate Cut

On August 21, 2025 by voice

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Crypto analysts believe the current market conditions suggest that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. According to one analyst, the overall market trend reflects the 81% probability of a cut that is now widely priced in by traders.

UPDATE:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Markets are still pricing in an 81% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. pic.twitter.com/mvcFRaCich

β€” Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) August 21, 2025

The Fed will announce interest rate decisions on September 17-18

The Fed will provide its next update on the interest rate decisions in the US between September 17 and 18, after the next FOMC meeting. Interest rate is a crucial macroeconomic factor with several consequential effects. Some of the potential outcomes of reduced interest rates include easing borrowing and stimulating the economy. Interest rate cuts are also historically associated with boosting demand for assets such as cryptocurrency.

Despite overwhelming expectations, the Fed has so far resisted the pressure to cut rates. While top central banks in other countries have started cutting interest rates, and as Trump pressures Fed Chair Powell, his team maintained status quo at their last meeting, triggering a temporary decline across the market.

The White House wants the Fed to cut interest rates

According to reports, a bloated US debt is one of the main reasons the White House is leaning on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, investors are paying close attention to whether the Fed will succumb to pressure and reduce interest rates, a development that many ot them consider potentially beneficial.

Crypto analysts believe the market is technically aligned to welcome an interest rate cut. Almost all top cryptocurrencies have retraced after a sustained rally, dropping into regions that investors consider ideal buy zones.

Many traders now have their limit orders in place, waiting for a trigger, like a Fed rate cut, to re-enter the market and open new bullish positions. This explains the growing bullish sentiment within the crypto ecosystem, despite the recent sideways price action.

Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

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