Amid ongoing cryptocurrency market volatility, OpenAI’s artificial intelligence (AI) model ChatGPT has placed nearly even odds on Bitcoin (BTC) slipping below the $100,000 mark before the end of 2025.
At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $111,044, having plunged about 3.5% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, BTC has dropped more than 10%.
According to the model’s projections, there is roughly a 50% chance that Bitcoin will briefly fall below $100,000 within the next two months.
However, the probability of the cryptocurrency remaining under that threshold for an extended period, more than two weeks, stands at around 20%. By contrast, the likelihood of Bitcoin avoiding any such decline through year-end is estimated at 30%.
The model cited possible triggers for a drop below $100,000, including macroeconomic shocks, tighter monetary policy, major liquidations, and regulatory or liquidity pressures.
However, ChatGPT noted that strong exchange traded fund (ETF) inflows, particularly into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, declining exchange supply, and potential fiscal easing in early 2026 could help stabilize prices.
Bitcoin key price levels to watch
The forecast comes as Bitcoin trades near $111,000, down sharply from highs of around $125,000 earlier in the month.
Technical assessments flagged by the AI tool suggest the market remains under pressure, with a primary support zone between $100,000 and $102,000, and further downside support near $92,000 if selling intensifies.
ChatGPT noted that resistance is expected between $122,000 and $128,000, where renewed selling pressure could emerge.
Indeed, the broader market has failed to mount a sustainable recovery after the massive crash on October 10. Bitcoin, in particular, has struggled to break above the $115,000 resistance level, which remains crucial for reclaiming the $120,000 zone and setting sights on a new record high.
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