Across some of the market’s closely watched gauges, the hold trade currently has the edge. Polymarket puts the probability of no change at 63%, Kalshi prices it at 65%, and CME’s Fedwatch monitor shows a much tighter 55.6% chance that the Fed keeps its target range at 3.50% to 3.75%. Prediction Markets Put the Hold
Bitcoin is currently trading at $65,172, down 48.37% from its record highs. It has racked up losses for a significant portion of its holders, including its pseudonymous founder Satoshi Nakamoto. Satoshi’s wallets, which have been untouched since 2010, hold about 1.096 million Bitcoin according to Arkham data. This is currently worth $71.19 billion, a significant
The Bitwise Solana ETF, formally named the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF, recorded a net $267.1 million increase from share transactions in the first half of 2026. Yet it finished June with $592.3 million of net assets, about $49.0 million less than at the end of December. Authorized participants handle those creations and redemptions. Bitwise’s filing
Over the past 48 hours, $BTC traded largely between $64,500 and $65,250. By Sunday morning, Aug. 9, bitcoin was changing hands around $64,800 to $64,900, with neither event producing the kind of sharp sell-off that often follows major security failures or contentious network disputes. Coldcard Crisis Fails to Crack Bitcoin’s Range The more financially damaging
Bitcoin is approaching a key decision zone as $BTC presses toward $65,400 liquidity while holding above its weekly 200-day moving average near $63,800. A sweep of nearby highs could still trigger a pullback toward $62,800-$63,300, while a sustained break above $68,400-$70,000 would strengthen the broader bullish outlook and signal a larger move may be developing.
In a small real estate office in Dongtan, South Korea, agent Mark Yoon spends his days tracing laser lines across two wall-size maps, answering questions about apartment prices, school districts and commute times. But after eight years running the shop, he has noticed something curious: almost every conversation, no matter how it starts, eventually turns
Bitcoin-treasury company Empery Digital sold 1,635 $BTC for $102.2 million from July 1 through Aug. 6, leaving it with 1,279 $BTC, according to its latest quarterly filing. Of that total, 954 $BTC was restricted as collateral against $35 million of debt. Subtracting the pledged balance from total holdings leaves 325 $BTC unrestricted, down from 1,375
An AI financial adviser receives the same client three times, with the finances and tolerance for risk left unchanged. The first prompt asks for a diversified long-term portfolio. The second introduces bank failures and capital controls, while the third imagines an economy in which autonomous software buys services and pays other machines. The client hasn’t
Bitcoin’s implied volatility has now plunged to a new 2026 low. This comes after U.S. Treasury yields climbed to their highest levels of the year. The combination has caught the attention of market participants, with Jeff Park, head of alpha strategies at Bitwise, recently warning that the setup could eventually produce a sharp move in